앤 리 — 이가 스바이텍 예측

Ann Li has made the case for a close match the hard way: she came back from a set and a break down to beat Aryna Sabalenka, then followed it with a steady win over Janice Tjen. Sabalenka needed treatment in the decider, but Li still had to keep attacking after match points slipped away.

Against Tjen, she saved set-point danger with big first serves; in Beijing, she hit 12 aces against Belinda Bencic. The low slice and changes of pace that troubled Sabalenka give her something beyond a straight exchange of power, and she says she feels physically good.

Swiatek has won cleanly in Wuhan, but her service games became long battles against Ashlyn Krueger. Her losses to Elise Mertens and Zheng Qinwen also showed how hard it can be for her to find a foothold against clean serving and first-strike tennis. Their Madrid meeting reached a deciding set before Swiatek retired: limited evidence, but no reason to assume Li is overawed.

Li +5.5 games is the better price than backing her outright; even a 6-4, 6-3 loss covers, while that score falls short of Over 19.5. The risks are Li’s second serve and accumulated work after the Sabalenka match, plus Swiatek’s capacity for a dominant display like her win over Iva Jovic. The number still asks too much of a routine Swiatek win.